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At least 127 records · Page 7

A review of the potential impacts of climate change on bulk power system planning and operations in the United States

In this paper, climate change might impact various components of the bulk electric power system, including electricity demand; transmission; and thermal, hydropower, wind, and solar generators. Most research in this area quantifies impacts on one or a few components and does not link these impacts to effects on power system planning and operations. Here, we advance the understanding of how climate change might impact the bulk U.S. power system in three ways. First, we synthesize recent research to capture likely component-level impacts of climate change in the United States. Second, given the interconnected nature of the electric power system, we assess how aggregated component-level impacts might affect power system planning and operations. Third, we outline an agenda for future research on climate change impacts on power system planning and operations. Although component-level impacts vary in their magnitude, collectively they might significantly affect planning and operations. Most notably, increased demand plus reduced firm capacity across generation types might require systems to procure significant additional capacity to maintain planning reserve margins, and regional declines in renewable resources might need to be offset by increasing zero-carbon investment to meet decarbonization targets. Aggregated impacts might also affect operations, e.g., through shifts in dispatching and increased operational reserve requirements. Future research should aggregate component-level impacts at operational timescales, quantify impacts on wind and solar variability, and contextualize climate change impacts within ongoing shifts in the electric power system.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Advanced Power Electronics Designs - Reliability and Prognostics

The electrical interconnection and isolation design aspects within an inverter must also provide high thermal performance and thermomechanical reliability. In collaboration with ORNL, DuPont, and Indiana Integrated Circuits (IIC), NREL is evaluating new packaging materials and manufacturing techniques for wide-bandgap-based traction inverters. Thermal modeling and experimental evaluation revealed that an organic direct-bond-copper (ODBC) substrate has similar thermal resistance to traditional ceramic substrates. High-temperature thermal cycling has shown the ODBC substrates to have greater reliability than ceramic substrates which is a significant finding in the quest for low-cost, power-dense, high-temperature power electronics. IIC's direct chip-to-chip topside electrical connection will be attached to ODBC substrates and reliability evaluation for both technologies will be performed at NREL in Q4.

30 DIRECT ENERGY CONVERSION↗

The Effect of Power Electronic Loads on Western Interconnection Stability

The prevalence of power electronics in the bulk power system is increasing rapidly in both the generation and consumption of electricity. This work focuses on the effect of changing load composition - specifically the transition from single phase air conditioner motors to power electronics backed air conditioners - on power system stability. Various transmission and generation contingency events for the Western Interconnection were simulated using Positive Sequence Load Flow software and planning models from the Western Electricity Coordinating Council. In general, an increased proportion of power electronic load leads to more instability. For some specific faults resulting in fault-induced delayed voltage recovery, transitioning to higher proportions of power electronic loads helps expedite system recovery. These results demonstrate that load composition should be examined in conjunction with generation composition when evaluating system stability.

FIDVR↗

Exascale Hardware Architectures Working Group

The ASC Exascale Hardware Architecture working group is challenged to provide input on the following areas impacting the future use and usability of potential exascale computer systems: processor, memory, and interconnect architectures, as well as the power and resilience of these systems. Going forward, there are many challenging issues that will need to be addressed. First, power constraints in processor technologies will lead to steady increases in parallelism within a socket. Additionally, all cores may not be fully independent nor fully general purpose. Second, there is a clear trend toward less balanced machines, in terms of compute capability compared to memory and interconnect performance. In order to mitigate the memory issues, memory technologies will introduce 3D stacking, eventually moving on-socket and likely on-die, providing greatly increased bandwidth but unfortunately also likely providing smaller memory capacity per core. Off-socket memory, possibly in the form of non-volatile memory, will create a complex memory hierarchy. Third, communication energy will dominate the energy required to compute, such that interconnect power and bandwidth will have a significant impact. All of the above changes are driven by the need for greatly increased energy efficiency, as current technology will prove unsuitable for exascale, due to unsustainable power requirements of such a system. These changes will have the most significant impact on programming models and algorithms, but they will be felt across all layers of the machine. There is clear need to engage all ASC working groups in planning for how to deal with technological changes of this magnitude. The primary function of the Hardware Architecture Working Group is to facilitate codesign with hardware vendors to ensure future exascale platforms are capable of efficiently supporting the ASC applications, which in turn need to meet the mission needs of the NNSA Stockpile Stewardship Program. This issue is relatively immediate, as there is only a small window of opportunity to influence hardware design for 2018 machines. Given the short timeline a firm co-design methodology with vendors is of prime importance.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Security Evaluation of Two Intrusion Detection Systems in Smart Grid SCADA Environment

The increased complexity and interconnectivity of SCADA infrastructure in the power system have exposed it to the multitude of vulnerabilities. There is a growing emphasis towards developing an efficient intrusion detection system (IDS) to strengthen the security of the SCADA control system. This is a research-in-progress paper which presents the application of two anomaly-based intrusion detection systems (AIDS) in detecting the stealthy cyber-attack on the SCADA control system. We have applied the IDS tools Snort and Bro, in designing the IDS and later, compared their performances in terms of detection rate and latency in the alert packets with a motive of selecting better IDS for the SCADA security. Specifically, the timing-based rule is applied to identify the malicious packets based on the high temporal frequency in the network traffic. For the case study, we have implemented the SCADA based protection scheme which performs an autonomous protection to mitigate the system disturbances. We first implemented the stealthy cyber-attack which compromised the SCADA controller followed by data integrity attack on the system generator. Next, we perform the impact analysis during the attack followed by performance evaluation of IDS tools. Our experimental results show that the IDS tools are efficient in detecting cyber-attacks within an acceptable time frame for different sizes of network packets.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Anomaly Detection and Mitigation for Wide-Area Damping Control using Machine Learning

In an interconnected multi-area power system, wide-area measurement based damping controllers are used to damp out inter-area oscillations, which jeopardize grid stability and constrain the power flows below to their transmission capacity. The effect of wide-area damping control (WADC) significantly depends on both power and cyber systems. At the cyber system layer, an adversary can inflict the WADC process by compromising either measurement signals, control signals or both. Stealthy and coordinated cyber-attacks may bypass the conventional cybersecurity measures to disrupt the seamless operation of WADC. This paper proposes an anomaly detection (AD) algorithm using supervised Machine Learning and a model-based logic for mitigation. The proposed AD algorithm considers measurement signals (input of WADC) and control signals (output of WADC) as input to evaluate the type of activity such as normal, perturbation (small or large signal faults), attack and perturbation-and-attack. Upon anomaly detection, the mitigation module tunes the WADC signal and sets the control status mode as either wide-area mode or local mode. The proposed anomaly detection and mitigation (ADM) module works inline with the WADC at the control center for attack detection on both measurement and control signals and eliminates the need for ADMs at the geographically distributed actuators. Here, we consider coordinated and primitive data-integrity attack vectors such as pulse, ramp, relay-trip and replay attacks. The performance of the proposed ADM algorithms was evaluated under these attack vector scenarios on a testbed environment for 2-area 4-machine power system. The ADM module shows effective performance with 96:5% accuracy to detect anomalies.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Highlights of IEEE Standard 1547-2018

This presentation contains highlights of technical requirements for DER integration prescribed in IEEE Standard 1547-2018.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

MN Solar Pathways: Enhanced Hosting Capacity Analysis

As part of the Minnesota Solar Pathways project, funded in part by the Department of Energy’s Solar Energy Technologies Office, Smarter Grid Solutions (SGS) completed an evaluation of emerging technologies as non-wires alternatives to integrate solar PV. SGS evaluated stand-alone smart inverters, centrally coordinated smart inverters, thermal load shifting, energy storage, and a combined technology scenario to compare and contrast the benefits at four distribution feeders. The analysis showed that there is not a “one size fits all” answer to increasing hosting capacity beyond a feeder’s static limit, since each feeder faces different constraints.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Generator Interconnection Cost Analysis in the Southwest Power Pool (SPP) Territory

Electric transmission system operators (ISOs, RTOs, or utilities) require new large generators seeking to connect to the grid to undergo a series of impact studies before they can be built. This process establishes what new transmission equipment or upgrades may be needed before a project can connect to the system and assigns the costs of that equipment. Berkeley Lab has collected interconnection cost data for 845 projects from interconnection studies for the Southwest Power Pool (SPP) Territory. The studies were performed between 2002 and 2023 and include all of the most refined cost estimates available. Project-level cost summary data are available for download on this page. We find: -Project-specific interconnection costs can differ widely. -Average interconnection costs are stable for projects that complete all interconnection studies but have escalated for those that withdraw. -Broader network upgrade costs are the primary driver of recent cost increases, especially for withdrawn projects. -Potential interconnection costs of all solar and wind requests have been greater than those of storage and natural gas projects. -Economies of scale exist for completed wind and solar projects but not for other fuel types or withdrawn projects. -Interconnection costs vary by location. Berkeley Lab publishes a series of short analytical papers of generator interconnection costs to the transmission system for MISO, PJM, SPP, ISO-NE and NYISO, which you can find at https://emp.lbl.gov/interconnection_costs.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

FY2018 Discovery Through Situational Awareness: Anomalies, Oscillations, and Classification

This technical report is a summary of work performed under the DOE GMLC program under the task titled “Discovery through Situational Awareness”. The focus of this work was to apply big data, statistical techniques to PMU data to do the following: 1) baseline PMU data and find anomalies with a focus on phase angle pairs, 2) identify the frequencies of dominant modal oscillations between different parts of a power system, and 3) identify and classify frequency events in PMU data. This work was performed on PMU data from the Western Interconnect. Many of these algorithms will be applied to wide area phase angle pair data on the Eastern Interconnect in a tool called ESAMS (Eastern Interconnect Situational Awareness Monitoring System). ESAMS was built by EPG (Electric Power Group) and PNNL and is currently being installed on the Eastern Interconnect. The results discussed in this report were made from 14 PMUs from data ranging from Oct 2016 to May 2018. The PMU data were measured 60 times each second. Fourteen phase angle pairs were included, with reactive and active power being calculated at 14 sites. All results have been de-identified for this report. The methodologies applied in the ESAMS tool are described in Section 2. A baseline of PMU data is created using the last 120 days of data. This baseline describes typical behavior as understood from the data. The baseline is then applied to the next day’s data and anomalies from that baseline are identified. Plots are created to help describe what is anomalous during that specific moment in time. These algorithms are currently being installed on the Eastern Interconnect. FY19 work will include discussing the results and findings from the ESAMS tool. A new method of identifying the frequencies of dominant modal oscillations between different parts of a power system is described in Section 3. A list of 199 frequency events provided by Bonneville Power Administration were used to create algorithms to detect frequency events and to create classification rules that can be used to identify future frequency events. Section 4 discusses the results the performance of 7 different event detection, clustering-based methods. Accuracy percentages ranged from 93.59% to 99.16%, with most methods being very fast. GBM (Gradient Boosting Machine) performed well and quickly. These 7 different methods were also tested to determine how well each built classification rules on training data and then applied those rules to identify future frequency events. Accuracy percentages ranged from 89.09% to 99.9%, with all methods performing quickly. GLM (General Linear Model) was viewed as the top performer when considering accuracy and processing time. Because the list of events consisted of 80% of them as active power events and only 20% as faults, all methods struggled to identify events as faults. Small faults were especially difficult to identify. A separate algorithm was created to help with this. Additional work will be done in FY19 on event detection using more data and more events and refinements to the methods.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Lower Snake River Dams Contribution to Grid Services

Hydroelectric generation and water storage have long been components of the clean energy mix, providing both reliable steady output and operational flexibility. As variable renewable energy sources such as wind and solar increasingly replace traditional generation, the role of all flexible resources—including hydropower—in balancing supply and demand continues to evolve. This study examined the contribution of the Lower Snake River (LSR) Dam plants to Bonneville Power Administration grid services in maintaining power system reliability within the Western Interconnection. By analyzing publicly available data, the study evaluated various reliability services through performance metrics including energy capacity, balancing and ramping, voltage and reactive power support, frequency response, and transmission impact. Results indicated that the LSR plants deliver services as expected based on their size, contributing to the balancing process, ramping capabilities, and operational reserves, particularly during peak load conditions and weather events, while also providing measurable frequency and voltage support to the grid.

13 HYDRO ENERGY↗

Estimation of Electromechanical Modes of Oscillation in the Eastern Interconnection from Ambient PMU Data

A power system's inter-area electromechanical modes of oscillation determine if the system is small-signal stable. Mode meters are tools that estimate the modes based on ambient synchrophasor measurements, allowing continuous monitoring of the system's stability margin. This paper reports on the application of mode meter algorithms to 21 months of synchrophasor measurements from the United States Eastern Interconnection (EI). Estimates for three modes were updated every minute, providing a much more comprehensive set of results than previous studies based on disturbance recordings. The detailed signal designs and mode meter configurations provided in this paper can be used to accelerate mode meter deployments in the EI. Analysis of the mode estimates reveal for the first time how seasonal load changes and system reconfiguration impact the EI system's dynamics.

Follum, James D.↗

Performance Test Protocol for Evaluating Inverters Used in Grid-Connected Photovoltaic Systems

Interconnection equipment that connects distributed resources (DR) to an electrical power system (EPS) are expected to do so efficiently. Standardized test procedures are necessary to establish methods for verifying inverter performance that leads to comparable results. These test procedures are provided as a repeatable, independent means of measuring inverter performance regarding maximum continuous power rating, conversion efficiency, and tare loss characteristics.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Grid-Forming Inverters: Project Demonstrations and Pilots

Power system operators around the world are pushing the limits of integrating inverter-based resources (IBRs) to very high levels, approaching 100% instantaneous penetration under certain operating conditions. This often applies to smaller power systems with very little or no ac interconnections to other neighboring regions or sometimes to fringes of large balancing areas, such as Denmark or Portugal, within the mainland European power system. These jurisdictions have identified the potential of grid-forming (GFM) technology as a key enabler to support the energy transition with very few or no synchronous generators online. Until recently, practical applications of GFM inverters were limited to microgrids and isolated grids and in smaller grid applications on the order of a few tens of megawatts (MW).

Australia↗

Advanced Power Electronics Designs - Reliability and Prognostics (Keystone Project 1)

The primary deliverable for this project will be to construct a power electronics package utilizing an organic electrically insulating substrate material with a direct chip-to-chip interconnect technology and demonstrate superior thermal performance and greater reliability under thermal cycling, thermal aging, vibration, power cycling, and electrical high-potential evaluation over traditional packages.

ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS,ENGINEERING↗

Drones in Automation - Secured Unmanned Aerial Systems

Factories, refineries, utilities (water/wastewater, electric) and related industrial sites are complex systems and structures with inspection and maintenance procedures required for optimal operation and regulatory compliance. As a specific example, consider just the bulk electric power system which is comprised of more than 200,000 miles of highvoltage transmission lines, thousands of generation plants and millions of digital controls. More than 1,800 entities own and operate portions of the grid system, with thousands more involved in the operation of distribution networks across North America. The interconnected and interdependent nature of the bulk power system requires a consistent and systematic application of risk mitigation across the entire grid system to be truly effective. Similar situations are found throughout automation where frequently an aging infrastructure is in place too. Consider, for example, the situation present in a refinery or chemical processing setting with the requirement for leak detection inspection of pipes, interconnects and systems stretching across the plant. The current practices and challenges relating just to this task - leak detection and repair (LDAR) – of detecting any fugitive emissions present and documenting all measurements thereby meeting air compliance regulations are typically “handled” by a small army of individuals with handheld or backpack-sized detectors who crawl through piping racks conducting measurements at each flange. Such work is performed in difficult conditions (temperature, humidity, physically challenging) with frequently a high level of employee turnover. Finaly, enter low cost sensors and mobile platforms – in other words unmanned aerial systems (UASs, or drones) with enhanced sensing capabilities.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Software Defined Cyber-Physical Testbed for Analysis of Automated Cyber Responses for Power System Security

As the power grid becomes more interconnected the attack surface increases and determining the causes of anomalies becomes more complex. Automated responses are a mechanism which can provide resilience in a power system by responding to anomalies. An automated response system can make intelligent decisions when paired with an automated health assessment system which includes a human in the loop for making critical decisions. Effective responses can be determined by developing a matrix which considers the likely impacts on resilience if a response is taken. A testbed assists to analyze these responses and determine their effects on system resilience.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗