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DOE OSTI2017

Measuring changes in ambient noise levels from the installation and operation of a surge wave energy converter in the coastal ocean

Ecosystem impacts resulting from elevated underwater noise levels generated by anthropogenic activities in the coastal ocean are poorly understood and remain difficult to address as a result of a significant gap in knowledge for existing nearshore sound levels. Ambient noise is an important habitat component for marine mammals and fish that use sound for essential functions such as communication, navigation, and foraging. Questions surrounding the amplitudes, frequency distributions, and durations of noise emissions from renewable wave energy conversion (WEC) projects during their construction and operation present concerns for long-term consequences in marine habitats. Oregon’s dynamic nearshore environment presents significant challenges for passive acoustic monitoring that include flow noise contamination from wave orbital motions, turbulence from breaking surf, equipment burial, and fishing pressure from sport and commercial crabbers. This project included 2 techniques for passive acoustic data collection: 1) campaign style deployments of fixed hydrophone lander stations to capture temporal variations in noise levels and 2) a drifting hydrophone system to record spatial variations within the project site. The hydrophone lander deployments were effective and economically feasible for enabling robust temporal measurements of ambient noise levels in a variety of sea state conditions. Limiting factors for the fixed stations included 1) a flow shield mitigation strategy failure in the first deployment resulting in significant wideband data contamination and 2) flow noise contamination of the unshielded sensors restricting valuable analysis to frequencies above 500 Hz for subsequent deployments. Drifting hydrophone measurements were also effective and economically feasible (although logistically challenging in the beginning of the project due to vessel time constraints) providing a spatial distribution of sound levels, comparisons of noise levels in varying levels of vessel traffic during similar sea states, and reducing the frequencies contaminated by flow noise to f < 50 Hz by an effective drifting hydrophone system design strategy. Results from this project can still assist regulatory agencies and WEC developers in permitting and licensing, reducing project costs overall and assisting the economic development of the WEC industry, thus furthering the MHK energy industry and easing the U.S. reliance on foreign oil for energy production. Additionally, results from this project can be used to help inform coastal resource managers and regulatory agencies on existing baseline noise level variability and ecosystem health.

16 TIDAL AND WAVE POWER↗

DOE OSTI2017

Construction Vibration Impacts on the Center for Integrated Nanotechnologies.

Under the direction of the James W. Todd, Assistant Manager for Engineering within the National Nuclear Security Administration Sandia Field Office, the team listed above has performed the attached study to evaluate the vibration sensitivity of the Center for Integrated Nanotechnolog ies and propose possible mitigation strategies .

77 NANOSCIENCE AND NANOTECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2016

HySafe research priorities workshop report Summary of the workshop organized in cooperation with US DOE and supported by EC JRC in Washington DC November 10-11 2014.

The HySafe research priorities workshop is held on the even years between the International Conference on Hydrogen Safety (ICHS) which is held on the odd years. The research priorities workshop is intended to identify the state-of-the-art in understanding of the physical behavior of hydrogen and hydrogen systems with a focus on safety. Typical issues addressed include behavior of unintended hydrogen releases, transient combustion phenomena, effectiveness of mitigation measures, and hydrogen effects in materials. In the workshop critical knowledge gaps are identified. Areas of research and coordinated actions for the near and medium term are derived and prioritized from these knowledge gaps. The stimulated research helps pave the way for the rapid and safe deployment of hydrogen technologies on a global scale. To support the idea of delivering globally accepted research priorities for hydrogen safety the workshop is organized as an internationally open meeting. In attendance are stakeholders from the academic community (universities, national laboratories), funding agencies, and industry. The industry participation is critically important to ensure that the research priorities align with the current needs of the industry responsible for the deployment of hydrogen technologies. This report presents the results of the HySafe Research Priorities Workshop held in Washing- ton, D.C. on November 10-11, 2014. At the workshop the participants presented updates (since the previous workshop organized two years before in Berlin, Germany) of their research and development work on hydrogen safety. Following the workshop, participants were asked to provide feedback on high-priority topics for each of the research areas discussed and to rank research area categories and individual research topics within these categories. The research areas were ranked as follows (with the percentage of the vote in parenthesis): 1. Quantitative Risk Assessment (QRA) Tools (23%) 2. Reduced Model Tools (15%) 3. Indoor (13%) 4. Unintended Release-Liquid (11%) 5. Unintended Release-Gas (8%) 6. Storage (8%) 7. Integration Platforms (7%) 8. Hydrogen Safety Training (7%) 9. Materials Compatibility/Sensors (7%) 10. Applications (2%) The workshop participants ranked the need for Quantitative Risk Analysis (QRA) tools as the top priority by a large margin. QRA tools enable an informed expert to quantify the risk asso- ciated with a particular hydrogen system in a particular scenario. With appropriate verification and validation such tools will enable: * system designers to achieve a desired level of risk with suitable risk mitigation strategies, * permitting officials to determine if a particular system installation meets the desired risk level (performance based Regulations, Codes, and Standards (RCS) rather than prescrip- tive RCS), and * allow code developers to develop code language based on rigorous and validated physical models, statistics and standardized QRA methodologies. Another important research topic identified is the development of validated reduced physical models for use in the QRA tools. Improvement of the understanding and modeling of specific release phenomena, in particular liquid releases, are also highly ranked research topics. Acknowledgement The International Association HySafe, represented here by the authors, would like to thank all participants of the workshop for their valuable contributions. Particularly appreciated is the active participation of the industry representatives and the steady support by the European Com- mission's Joint Research Centre (JRC). Deep gratitude is owed for the great support by the United States Department of Energy (DOE) Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy's Fuel Cell Technologies Office (EERE/FCTO) for the organization of the 2014 version of the hydrogen safety research priorities workshop. This page intentionally left blank.

08 HYDROGEN↗

DOE OSTI2016

Water Network Tool for Resilience Version 0.1

Water utilities are vulnerable to a wide variety of human-caused and natural disasters. These disruptive events can result in loss of water service, contaminated water, pipe breaks, and failed equipment. Furthermore, long term changes in water supply and customer demand can have a large impact on the operating conditions of the network. The ability to maintain drinking water service during and following these types of events is critical. Simulation and analysis tools can help water utilities explore how their network will respond to disruptive events and plan effective mitigation strategies. The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency and Sandia National Laboratories are developing new software tools to meet this need. The Water Network Tool for Resilience (WNTR, pronounced winter) is a Python package designed to help water utilities investigate resilience of water distribution systems over a wide range of hazardous scenarios and to evaluate resilience-enhancing actions. The following documentation includes installation instructions and examples, description of software features, and software license. It is assumed that the reader is familiar with the Python Programming Language.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2018

The Effects of Stochastic Velocity Variations on Estimating Time Dependent Seismic Moment Tensors: Applications to the Blue Mountain Well Perforation Data

Resolving the time dependent terms in the seismic moment tensor provides important information that can be used to interpret the source process of an explosion, including the separation of isotropic explosion terms from shear forces and potentially isolated force couples. In this report, we detail our method of inverting three component seismic data for the seismic moment tensor. We review possible seismic source models from the simplest isotropic explosion type source to those incorporating the six independent moment tensor terms. The inversion we describe is formulated in the frequency domain, and results in estimates of time dependent moment tensor components. The inversion relies on an accurate estimate of the Green's functions of the Earth. However, given the complexity of the Earth, we explore the effects of inaccuracies in the presumed Earth model used to estimate the Green's functions needed for the inversion. Specifically, we explore the effects of stochastic variations in the Earth models on the inversion results. These tests are synthetic throughout, and show that adding stochastic density/velocity heterogeneity in the presumed Earth model results in reduced amplitude seismic moment tensor estimates, as well as degrading the data misfit. We suggest two mitigation strategies. First, produce a suite of Green's functions using different realizations of the stochastic field within the Earth Model. Secondly, perform the in- version in the power spectral domain, eliminating all phase information. Finally, we analyze actual seismic data collected in winter 2017/2018. The seismic data was collected at in active geothermal well site outside of Winnimucca, NV, and was produced during well stimulation operations. In general, the inversion results were poor, with a high degree of data misfit. We hypothesize that the poor results are a function of a poorly constrained Earth model as well as noisy, high-frequency data being used in the inversion.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2018

Advanced High Torque Density Magnetically Geared Generator

The objective of this research project was to investigate the fundamental torque density limitations of multistage flux focusing magnetic gears and magnetically geared direct-drive generators for wind turbines. Magnetic gears create non-contact speed amplification by modulating the air-gap magnetic field harmonics created by magnetic rotors. By integrating a stator into the magnetic gear structure a very high torque density direct-drive generator can be created. Magnetic geared systems offer unique capabilities that are currently not available using existing mechanically geared systems, such as overload protection. Magnetic gears also offer the potential for higher reliability, higher efficiency and quieter operation than is currently achievable using a mechanically geared generator. By increasing reliability and design life magnetic gears could decrease the overall life-cycle costs when compared with equivalent mechanical or direct-drive drivetrains. This research project investigated and experimentally testing two sub-scale magnetic gearboxes (0.12 m diameter) and two large diameter magnetic gearboxes (0.56m and 0.63m diameter). The goal of the project was to demonstrate a torque density >300Nm/L for a multistage magnetic gearbox with integrated stator. A nested multistage magnetic gear structure was first proposed and studied. However, it was shown that the nested design greatly increased mechanical complexity and therefore a two-stage series typology was utilized. A multi-stage magnetic gear with a 59:1 gear ratio was successfully experimentally tested. A peak torque of 4.25 kN·m was measured and this resulted in an overall active region torque density of 141 N·m/L (when including support rings). The torque density was significantly reduced from what was computed using 2-D electromagnetic analysis. This reduction was due to the 3-D edge effects, increased power losses and the inclusion of additional mechanical support rings as well as other mechanical assembly design changes. At large diameters contiguous lamination parts could not be fabricated and so a segmented laminated rotor design had to be used. This reduced the mechanical strength of the design when compared to small diameter magnetic gears and resulted in the need for the addition of mechanical support rings to prevent deflection. The final experimentally tested design also had a high torque ripple and the power loss within the magnetic gear did not change significantly with load. This therefore resulted in the efficiency being high only at peak loads. Despite not experimentally achieving the 2-D calculated high torque density the analysis has shown that the problems encountered with the scaling can be overcome with careful design changes. For example, understanding the unique mechanical deflection requirements during the electromagnetic design of the large diameter magnetic gears is key to achieving both a high torque density based on the electromagnetic analysis and a high torque density based on the mechanical support needs. Furthermore, ensuring that end plates are made of non-conductive material and minimizing other conductive support elements within the magnetic structure is a key requirement for reducing eddy current losses. In summary, if the mechanical design can be made more robust and eddy current loss mitigation strategies are used in the mechanical design phase then the magnetic gear is capable of being scaled up whilst operating at a very high torque density. This will then enable it to be potentially performance and cost competitive with alternative direct-drive and mechanically geared wind turbine drivetrains.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2015

Contingency Contractor Optimization Phase 3 Extension User Manual Contingency: Contractor Optimization Tool - Engineering Prototype (Release 2.3)

This User Manual provides step-by-step instructions on the Contingency Contractor Optimization Tool's major features. Activities are organized by user role. The Contingency Contractor Optimization project is intended to address former Secretary Gates' mandate in a January 2011 memo and DoDI 3020.41 by delivering a centralized strategic planning tool that allows senior decision makers to quickly and accurately assess the impacts, risks, and mitigation strategies associated with utilizing contract support. Based on an electronic storyboard prototype developed in Phase 2, the Contingency Contractor Optimization Tool engineering prototype was refined in Phase 3 of the OSD ATL Contingency Contractor Optimization project to support strategic planning for contingency contractors. The planning tool uses a model to optimize the Total Force mix by minimizing the combined total costs for the selected mission scenarios. The model will optimize the match of personnel groups (military, DoD civilian, and contractors) and capabilities to meet the mission requirements as effectively as possible, based on risk, cost, and other requirements.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2015

Contingency Contractor Optimization Phase 3 User Manual - Contingency Contractor Optimization Tool Prototype - Release 2.2

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

DOE OSTI2019

Systematic Technology Evaluation Program for SiC-based BWR Channel Box

Silicon carbide (SiC) –based accident-tolerant fuel (ATF) cladding of light water reactors (LWRs) has become a topic of great interest in nuclear material development since the Fukushima Dai-ichi Nuclear Power Plant accident. Extensive development of SiC cladding has identified benefits of the concept, including its inherent accident resistance and neutronic performance. Advancements achieved during the development of SiC-based ATF cladding have made it attractive for use in accident-tolerant cores of LWRs. In this document, we consider the use of SiC-based materials to replace the zirconium alloy used for the channel boxes of boiling water reactors. Both accident resistance and prevention of the bowing observed in current grades of channel boxes are needs driving the exploration of a new channel box system. To provide a pathway for channel box development, this document lays out (1) a current technology overview, (2) the technology gap, and (3) a systematic technology evaluation plan. The objectives of the technology evaluation plan are to address key feasibility issues revealed by the knowledge gap analysis and to contribute to advancing the technology readiness level. Further development will be required in the technology implementation phase. The technology evaluations include understanding the behavior of channel boxes under both normal and off-normal conditions, identifying potential mitigation strategies for the issues if necessary, and improving channel box performance based on the knowledge obtained. The structure of the technology evaluation plan and each task are shown in Figure S.1. The knowledge gap analysis identified key research areas, including irradiation effects, hydrothermal corrosion, accident behavior, and design and manufacture. These are common issues between SiC-based channel boxes and SiC-based fuel cladding, although technical evaluations specific for the channel box components are required. This document also describes details of the technical feasibility evaluation methods and plans.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

DOE OSTI2019

Methodologies for Evaluation of Corrosion Protection for Ductile Iron Pipe

Repairing the nation’s infrastructure and ensuring its future durability are key issues facing the United States. It is important that these critical issues are addressed with appropriate and economical solutions based on the best modern scientific information. For example, in 2013 the American Society of Civil Engineers (ASCE), in its Report Card for America’s Infrastructure, gave the state of the critical water/wastewater infrastructure an overall grade of “D.” According to the ASCE, 6 billion gallons of drinking water disappear every day, mostly due to leaks in old pipes. Corrosion of water pipes plays a role in their durability and, for external pipe corrosion, the corrosivity of soils varies by location and is based on several factors, including soil resistivity. There is universal agreement that water pipes require some type of corrosion mitigation strategy (i.e., bare pipe is not installed). However, in specifying which strategy to employ for ductile iron pipe (DIP) in different soil types, the recommendations of the US Bureau of Reclamation (USBR) Technical Memorandum 8140-CC-2004-1 were subject to considerable debate. So much so that in 2009, this report was the subject of a study by the National Academy, which did not resolve the debate about the most effective and affordable solutions. Zinc-coatings have been explored in other parts of the world. Despite being widely used in Europe for almost 60 years, zinc coating was barely mentioned in either the 2004 or 2009 studies, which appeared to focus on North American data.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2016

Frequency Response Assessment and Improvement of Three Major North American Interconnections due to High Penetrations of Photovoltaic Generation

As photovoltaic (PV) generation penetration increases, the inertial and primary frequency response of North American electric grids after a generation loss disturbance will decrease. This change could negatively influence North American power grids frequency stability. This project produced a series of high PV penetration models from detailed, validated base models of all three U.S. interconnections (Eastern Interconnection, Western Electricity Coordinating Council, and Electric Reliability Council of Texas) so that the effects of increased PV generation on their frequency responses can be fully quantified. Mitigation strategies were also developed and validated using both software and hardware test beds.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

DOE OSTI2020

Adapting Existing Energy Planning, Simulation, and Operational Models for Resilience Analysis

Resilience is a topic receiving much attention in relation to energy systems, with particular attention being paid to the supply of electricity. As a result, research communities have proposed a plethora of candidate indicators and metrics for resilience, most of which remain immature at different scales and segments within the energy system. Given the complexity of resilience analyses and mitigation strategies, there is limited value in attempting to identify a single resilience metric, as no one metric can quantify resilience or its associated value for all stakeholders. Instead, a necessary focus of the research community should lie in implementing, testing, and validating resilience metrics and analysis approaches in energy sector models, which will be invaluable for informing resilience planning and investment decisions. Recognizing that implementing, testing, and validating resilience metrics are challenges that need to be addressed, the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) dedicated staff and time to researching how to effectively integrate resilience considerations into energy sector models and tools, as part of the Laboratory Directed Research and Development (LDRD) program. The overarching goal of the effort was to evaluate the data needs, methodologies, and outcomes - including consequences and/or changes in investment or operational decisions due to avoided consequences - based on resilience analysis in a range of existing tools. In particular, we selected five models originally built at NREL to explore non-resilience energy research questions to implement and exercise resilience metrics and analysis approaches.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

DOE OSTI2016

Contingency Contractor Optimization Engineering Prototype – Release 2.3 (Phase 3 Extension – Training Examples)

This document provides training examples to provide users practice in using the tool. Detailed instructions on how to use the tool can be found in the User Manual (SAND2015-6028).The Contingency Contractor Optimization project is intended to address former Secretary Gates’ mandate in a January 2011 memo and DoDI 3020.41 by delivering a centralized strategic planning tool that allows senior decision makers to quickly and accurately assess the impacts, risks, and mitigation strategies associated with utilizing contract support. Based on an electronic storyboard prototype developed in Phase 2, the CCOT-P engineering prototype was refined in Phase 3 of the OSD ATL Contingency Contractor Optimization project to support strategic planning for contingency contractors. CCOT-P uses a model to optimize the total workforce mix by minimizing the combined total costs for the selected mission scenarios. The model will optimize the match of personnel groups (military, DoD civilian, and contractors) and capabilities to meet the mission requirements as effectively as possible, based on risk, cost, and other requirements.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗

DOE OSTI2020

Argonne’s global critical materials agent-based model (GCMat)

Several studies have identified rare earths as critical materials. Although reasonably abundant in the Earth’s crust, rare earths typically occur in low concentrations of mined ores. Processes for recovering rare earth concentrates from these ores are complex and capital intensive. Further, lead times for deposit development, licensing, and construction are long, with reports of 10- 15 years. China is a major player in the rare earths supply chain, both in production capacity and technology innovation. In 2017, China supplied more than 80% of global rare earth oxide demand. Rare earth elements (REEs) have unique magnetic, catalytic, and phosphorescent properties that significantly improve performance of a wide range of technologies. These technologies span aerospace, energy, telecommunications, electronics, transportation, defense, and other diverse applications. Consequently, disruptions in rare earth supply can have a significant societal impact. Estimating that impact requires understanding of the dynamics across the supply chain, from rare earth oxide extraction to end use application. This report documents Argonne’s Global Critical Materials model (GCMat), first described by Riddle et al. 2015. GCMat provides capabilities to explore supply chain dynamics and uncertainty under scenarios of demand growth or shrinkage, technology adoption, supply disruptions, and trade policies and mitigation strategies of new supply sources, product substitution, consumer thrifting, and stockpiling. Supply chain participants from rare earth mining through final demand are modeled as interacting agents who make market decisions independently as time progresses. Since the version documented in Riddle et al. 2015, GCMat has been expanded to cover additional REEs, derived products and supply chains that use these REEs, and includes new agent behaviors and modeling capabilities. Section 2 provides a summary of the GCMat model design, including the structure of the model and key assumptions, section 3 summarizes methods used for model calibration and sensitivity analysis, and section 4 provides examples of model results.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2020

Resilient U.S. Land Ports of Entry

The continued operation of Land Ports of Entry (LPOE), managed by the Customs and Border Protection (CBP) and General Services Administration% is vital to the U.S. economy and security. Border faculties are included in the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) Government Facilities Sector2, one of the 16 critical infrastructures "whose assets, systems, and networks, whether physical or virtual, are considered so vital to the United States that their incapacitation or destruction would have a debilitating effect on security, national economic security, national public health or safety, or any combination thereof.'" Specifically, disruptions to the flow of border crossing traffic, in the form of closures or increased border crossing wait times, impact the economy and security of all countries involved. This paper describes a process for analyzing and improving the resilience of U.S. Land Ports of Entry. For LPOE, the team believes that energy resilience is the primary objective due to the complete reliance on the e-manifest system and the increasing use of Multi-Energy Portals (MEPs). Emanifests are part of CPB's Automated Commercial Environment (ACE). They document several key pieces of information about cargo vehicles wishing to cross the border into the United States and are submitted before arriving at the port. Vehicles can be flagged for more invasive inspection based on the content of the e-manifest. MEPs are a non-intrusive inspection (NII) technology used to scan the contents of the cargo. Together MEPs and ACE serve an important role in aiding CBP with their mission to protect "the public from dangerous people and materials", and "enabling legitimate trade and travel.'" To analyze resilience of a port, the team would need to understand the port's current energy usage, which systems depend on energy and what backup systems exist, and any emergency operation plans that dictate how systems are operated in the event of a power outage. The team would also need to determine the design basis threats (DBTs) for the LPOE which could include natural disasters, manmade events, and accidents. The magnitudes of the DBTs are calculated and are then translated to expected impacts on the infrastructure and systems at the port. With this information gathered, existing LPOE models developed here at Sandia National Laboratories could be extended to support decisions about resilience. Current models are implemented in FlexSim, a 3rd party discrete event simulator. FlexSim provides 3-D visuals of physical layout that can reveal valuable insights, allows input to be variable (e.g. time it takes to interact with the CBP officer at primary inspection can vary) so that a whole range of possibilities can be captured in the results, and can be used to collect user-defined output metrics. Current LPOE models focus on cargo vehicle traffic, and process changes caused by the installation of new drive-through MEPs. Extending them to address resilience questions would require the addition of key pieces of information learned during the resilience analysis including critical systems, failure rates, and process changes for when failures occur. The primary output metric for current models is border crossing wait time. Additional metrics would also be added to the model to gain a more complete understanding of impacts related to resilience, for example, MEP scan rate. Once complete, the model could be used to analyze the effectiveness of mitigation strategies representing some future state.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

DOE OSTI2020

Hanging String Cuts in SPR Caverns: Modeling Investigation and Comparison with Sonar Data

Investigation of leaching for oil sales includes looking closely at cavern geometries. Anomalous cavern "features" have been observed near the foot of some caverns subsequent to partial drawdowns. One potential mitigation approach to reducing further growth of preexisting features is based on the hypothesis that reducing the brine string length via a "string cue' would serve to move the zone associated with additional leaching to a location higher up in the cavern and thus away from the preexisting feature. Cutting of the hanging string is expected to provide a control of leaching depth that could be used to "smooth" existing features and thus reduce geomechanical instability in that region of the cavern. The SANSMIC code has been used to predict cavern geometry changes (i.e., the extent of cavern growth with depth) based on variable input parameters for four caverns: West Hackberry 11 (WH11), West Hackberry 113 (WH113), Big Hill 104 (BH104), Big Hill 114 (BH114). By comparing the initial sonar geometry with resultant geometries calculated by the SANSMIC code, conclusions may be drawn about the potential impact of these variables on future cavern growth. Ultimately, these conclusions can be used to assess possible mitigation strategies such as the potential advantage of cutting versus not cutting a brine string. This work has resulted in a recommendation that a hanging string cut of 80 ft in WH11 would be beneficial to future cavern geometry, while there would be little to no benefit to string cuts in the other three caverns investigated here. The WH11 recommendation was followed in 2019, resulting in an operational string cut. A sonar performed after the string cut showed no adverse leaching in the area of the preexisting flare, as expected from the results of the preliminary SANSMIC runs described in this report. Additional SANSMIC modeling of the actual amount of injected raw water resulted in good agreement with the post-cut sonar.

02 PETROLEUM↗

DOE OSTI2020

Modeling of Atom Interferometer Accelerometer

This report presents the theoretical effort to model and simulate the atom-interferometer accelerometer operating in a highly mobile environment. Multitudes of non-idealities may occur in such a rapidly-changing environment with a large acceleration whose amplitude and direction both change quickly. We studied the undesired effect of high mobility in the atom-interferometer accelerator in a detailed model and a simulator. The undesired effects include the atom cloud's movement during Raman pulses, the Doppler effect due to the relative movement between the atom-cloud and the supporting platform, the finite atom cloud temperature, and the lateral movement of the atom cloud. We present the relevant feed-forward mitigation strategies for each identified non-ideality to neutralize the impact and obtain accurate acceleration measurements.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

DOE OSTI2020

Extreme Scale Infrasound Inversion and Prediction for Weather Characterization and Acute Event Detection

Accurate and timely weather predictions are critical to many aspects of society with a profound impact on our economy, general well-being, and national security. In particular, our ability to forecast severe weather systems is necessary to avoid injuries and fatalities, but also important to minimize infrastructure damage and maximize mitigation strategies. The weather community has developed a range of sophisticated numerical models that are executed at various spatial and temporal scales in an attempt to issue global, regional, and local forecasts in pseudo real time. The accuracy however depends on the time period of the forecast, the nonlinearities of the dynamics, and the target spatial resolution. Significant uncertainties plague these predictions including errors in initial conditions, material properties, data, and model approximations. To address these shortcomings, a continuous data collection occurs at an effort level that is even larger than the modeling process. It has been demonstrated that the accuracy of the predictions depends on the quality of the data and is independent to a certain extent on the sophistication of the numerical models. Data assimilation has become one of the more critical steps in the overall weather prediction business and consequently substantial improvements in the quality of the data would have transformational benefits. This paper describes the use of infrasound inversion technology, enabled through exascale computing, that could potentially achieve orders of magnitude improvement in data quality and therefore transform weather predictions with significant impact on many aspects of our society.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗